With pressure building from the legislative and environmental front, automotive powertrains are at a pivotal point in history. How much longer will the exhaust and emissions control component market last? Klarius sheds some insight on this based on recent industry findings.
Toyota’s Prediction of the Future
Toyota has long been setting benchmarks in the automotive industry. Seminal offerings such as the 2000GT, Hilux, Land Cruiser and Supra, sit alongside the Prius, their flagship hybrid. Toyota not only offers vehicles that define the automotive industry, they mould attitudes towards transportation.
In 2017, Toyota announced that it plans to sell 5.5 million electrified vehicles annually by 2030. With 1 million of these being zero-emission vehicles, some exhaust manufacturers began to question the viability of their future.
Perspective in Figures
To put these impressive numbers into perspective, one can compare them against Toyota’s total production output. Even by 2030, Toyota estimates that only a tenth of their vehicles sold annually will be fully electric. During this time, the rest sold will be liquid-fuel powered cars, taking into account traditional petrol, ethanol or diesel-powered vehicles and hybrids.
What Does this Mean for the Aftermarket?
These figures indicate that there is a clear timeline before full electric vehicles will gain an impact over traditional powertrain sales.
However, it will be a long time before the application of exhausts in vehicles is completely eradicated.
Hybrid powertrains which utilise both, electric motors and traditional combustion engines, will still require exhausts. As a result, exhausts will continue to be widely used on new vehicles well into the 2040’s. As average lifespans vary between 7 to 10 years, the aftermarket will be servicing these vehicles well into the 2050’s.
Infrastructure to support electric vehicles will need to catch up with the mass conversion towards electric vehicles. This is clearly illustrated by the 10 new nuclear power stations* that would be needed to reach the UK government’s pledge to fully electrify road cars by 2040.
Furthermore, technological and resource limitations such as battery heat generation and raw materials are still not fully addressed. Additionally, many electric vehicle owners are unsure of how future maintenance work will be carried out and the cost of ownership over the long-term. Ultimately it seems, for both exhausts and liquid fuel cars in general, there is plenty more in the tank.
Safeguarding the Future
Klarius has always placed an emphasis on introducing new products quickly, developing quality exhausts, CATs and DPFs as soon as demand surfaces. As demand for hybrid parts increase in the aftermarket, here are some application highlights:
- 322452 – Type Approved CAT with Pipe for Toyota Prius 1.5 (2003-2009)
- TY682J – Box with Tail Pipe for Toyota Prius 1.5 (2003-2009)
- TY755C – Box with Centre Pipe for Toyota Prius 1.5 (2003-2009)